African Agriculture Holdings Stock Performance

AAGR Stock   0.01  0.0001  1.01%   
African Agriculture holds a performance score of 31 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 95.0, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, African Agriculture will likely underperform. Use African Agriculture maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day typical price , to analyze future returns on African Agriculture.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in African Agriculture Holdings are ranked lower than 31 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile technical and fundamental indicators, African Agriculture reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow10.1 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.6 K
  

African Agriculture Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.50  in African Agriculture Holdings on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.48  from holding African Agriculture Holdings or generate 96.0% return on investment over 90 days. African Agriculture Holdings is currently generating 145.2042% in daily expected returns and assumes 370.8315% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than African, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days African Agriculture is expected to generate 500.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 500.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.39 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

African Agriculture Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of African Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 20.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of African Agriculture to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.62 (This African Agriculture Holdings probability density function shows the probability of African Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, African Agriculture will likely underperform. In addition to that African Agriculture Holdings has an alpha of 551.8137, implying that it can generate a 551.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   African Agriculture Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for African Agriculture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as African Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.01370.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.0020.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as African Agriculture. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against African Agriculture's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, African Agriculture's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in African Agriculture.

African Agriculture Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. African Agriculture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the African Agriculture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold African Agriculture Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of African Agriculture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
551.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.30

African Agriculture Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of African Agriculture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for African Agriculture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
African Agriculture is way too risky over 90 days horizon
African Agriculture has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
African Agriculture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
African is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 348.8 K.
African Agriculture generates negative cash flow from operations

African Agriculture Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of African Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential African Agriculture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. African Agriculture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 M

African Agriculture Fundamentals Growth

African Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of African Agriculture, and African Agriculture fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on African Pink Sheet performance.

About African Agriculture Performance

Assessing African Agriculture's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into African Agriculture's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the African Agriculture is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about African Agriculture performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about African Agriculture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for African Agriculture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
African Agriculture is way too risky over 90 days horizon
African Agriculture has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
African Agriculture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
African is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 348.8 K.
African Agriculture generates negative cash flow from operations
Evaluating African Agriculture's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate African Agriculture's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing African Agriculture's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether African Agriculture's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining African Agriculture's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating African Agriculture's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of African Agriculture's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of African Agriculture's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into African Agriculture's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating African Agriculture's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact African Agriculture's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for African Pink Sheet Analysis

When running African Agriculture's price analysis, check to measure African Agriculture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy African Agriculture is operating at the current time. Most of African Agriculture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of African Agriculture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move African Agriculture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of African Agriculture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.